The 2024 Election Landscape: Who Supports Biden and Why the Election Polls Serve Us Right
The 2024 election is a year away, yet the political landscape is already heating up. As of late November 2023, trends in the polls are showing former President Joe Biden trailing President Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 matchup. This raises the question: do people love Trump, or do they dislike Biden? What can Biden do to catch up in the polls and regain public favor?
Right-Wing Progressive Fascists and Biden's Support
Biden's main policies, including gun control, imperialism, and issues of white supremacy, have garnered significant support from a segment of the population. This group, predominantly right-wing progressive fascists, sees areas of the world as symbols of the Bronze Age and believes that it is America's duty to eliminate people from those countries. For them, Biden is viewed favorably because he aligns with these ultra-conservative ideologies.
It's important to note that these views are not shared by a majority of Americans. The support for Biden from this group comes in spite of, rather than because of, many of his policies. The complacency and even enthusiasm from this segment of supporters have been a significant factor in the current polling trends.
Pacifists and Leftist Progressives
Among pacifists and leftist progressives, the sentiment is generally one of dislike for Trump rather than support for Biden. Trump is viewed as a much worse candidate who could potentially undermine the values of progressive and pacifist communities. Many in these groups believe that solving America's problems requires the existence of a functioning and progressive government first. Therefore, despite the enthusiasm for Biden, there is a general sense that he falls short of the expectations set by previous presidents such as Barack Obama and Bill Clinton.
Leftist progressives appreciate the historical and cultural context of past leaders who championed human rights and social justice. While they see Biden as a necessary candidate to replace Trump, there is a deep-seated desire for better leaders in the future. The critiques of Biden from this perspective are often well-received within the community, as they are seen as striving towards a more ideal vision of leadership.
Critics of Biden from a Far-Left Perspective
From a far-left perspective, Biden is often criticized for policies that are seen as regressive or harmful. For example, supporters of Biden point to his administration's response to gun violence and the suppression of speech regarding the Israel-Palestine protests. Such policies, including the 600 annual deaths from gun violence and his actions to suppress free speech, have left many in the far-left community disillusioned. These criticisms highlight the deep divisions within the progressive community and the need for dialogue and introspection.
My own critiques of Biden from a far-left perspective rarely resonate with supporters of the first group. However, they are often well-received and respected among pacifists and leftist progressives. This suggests that while support for Biden is not universal, the criticisms are being heard and are prompting introspection within the progressive community.
Assessing the Accuracy of Polls
The 2024 election is still a year away, and it's crucial to consider the accuracy of current polling data. While polls can be valuable tools for predicting outcomes, they are far from infallible. For instance, a poll showing Trump ahead by 4 percentage points, with a margin of error of -/4 and an odd number of participants, raises significant questions about its reliability.
Spreading awareness about the limitations of polling data is essential for the public to understand the context in which these numbers are presented. It's important to acknowledge that the average American is not responding to these polls with a definitive choice of who they will vote for. These early polls are often influenced by current events and popular sentiment, which can shift as the election approaches.
Moreover, it's crucial for Biden to ensure that his polling data includes a more robust sample size that accurately reflects the population. By excluding Trump responses or polling a larger number of people, it's possible to achieve a more accurate lead in the polls.
In conclusion, while the current polls show Biden trailing Trump, these results should be interpreted with caution. The 2024 election is still a year away, and there is ample time for both candidates to refine their strategies and gain more support. As the political landscape evolves, so too will the polls, reflecting the complex and dynamic nature of American politics.